Yorkshire and the Humber
|YORKSHIRE & H||54||50||-4|
- South Yorkshire loses a seat.
- Humberside loses a seat
- West Yorkshire loses two seats (one from the Bradford area, one from the Leeds-Wakefield area) and probably donates some territory around Hemsworth to a South Yorkshire based constituency.
The Humberside seat to be dismantled entirely is probably Brigg & Goole (Andrew Percy) – although the consequences would probably flip Scunthorpe to the Tories and create a new safe seat of Brigg in a radical set of changes south of the Humber. David Davis is another possible casualty as the largest piece of his seat would be pitched in with the Goole remnant of Brigg & Goole.
In South Yorkshire there are no very obvious candidates for abolition; possibly Labour-held Penistone & Stocksbridge, although the knock-on consequences could radically alter and perhaps flip to Labour Nick Clegg’s seat in Sheffield Hallam. It never rains but it pours.
Both Bradford and Leeds will have some unfamiliar looking seats, with the possibility of the current Conservative held marginal of Morley & Outwood (ex Ed Balls) vanishing from the map, along with – probably – another of the small gang of Lib Dem MPs Greg Mulholland in Leeds North West and probably the irregularly shaped Tory marginal of Pudsey. There are probably not sufficient Conservative votes in Bradford to sustain their two current holdings of Keighley and Shipley, setting up a possible clash between Kris Hopkins (Keighley, minister) and Philip Davies (Shipley, right wing rebel).