|Tyne & Wear||12||10.65||-1|
- Cleveland has very slightly too many electors for five seats and nothing but, so there will have to be a cross-border seat pairing a small part of Cleveland with County Durham.
- Durham loses a seat; it takes a section from Cleveland and probably loses a section to Tyne and Wear.
- Northumberland loses a seat and donates a section to Tyne and Wear.
- Even with the help of additional territory from Durham and Northumberland Tyne & Wear loses a seat.
Boundary Commissions work in mysterious ways but the easiest seat to abolish in Northumberland is probably Labour Wansbeck.
The net effect in Cleveland will come down to detail – it is probably possible either to abolish or to strengthen the Tory marginal of Stockton South.
Tony Blair’s former seat of Sedgefield looks like the most likely casualty in County Durham. Darlington would gain rural electors and probably be made significantly more winnable for the Conservatives.
The Tyne and Wear changes will probably be complicated, with a seat probably vanishing in the Gateshead (Ian Mearns) and Jarrow (Stephen Hepburn) area.